Why sectarianism fails at explaining the conflict in Syria
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primordialist assumption that the war in Syria is of an exclusively sectarian
nature is fundamentally flawed. Sectarianism may be a component in the
conflict, however its role as a generating cause of the unrest falls under
scrutiny.
The
brutal conflict now approaching its sixth year is generally considered
sectarian in character, as a popular majority Sunni struggle against a minority
led government, but this is highly simplistic and ignores the significant
cross-religious attachments and ties which have served as the greatest
counter-reaction to sectarianism in Syria.
There
is no evidence to suggest that in the lead up to the 2011 uprising,
sectarianism was rife in Syria, or that the country’s religious groupings were
at breaking point.
With
a population of roughly 24 million, Syria's ethnic and religious diversity is
unique, with up to 60 percent Sunni Muslim and a wide array of minorities
from Alawites, Christians, Kurds and Druze making up the remainder, it has an
explosive socio-religious mix and has been dominated by a secular Baathist
ideology for over half a century.
It
could be argued that sectarianism in Syria was overshadowed significantly by a
strong sense of national identity; Syria prior to the current conflict did not
have a sectarian problem on a significant scale. There were some tensions and
soft rivalries between different religious communities, but the strong sense of
Syrian identity was at large.
Sectarian
identity was clearly a secondary aspect of the conflict, the lack of interest
in partition of the country on religious or ethnic lines is the prime
manifestation of this. As Jorg Dostol, fellow at the Center For Syria Studies explains, “in fact, there exists no serious domestic demand in
Syria to solve the current crisis by splitting the country into ethnically
homogenous smaller states”.
The 1982 Muslim Brotherhood uprising is an ideal example: it was
located in the central heartland of Syria in the traditionally conservative
city of Hama, however equally conservative Sunni-mojority areas such as Daraa
and Idleb were free from revolt.
The
Daraa region where the uprising was sparked in 2011, is predominantly populated by Sunni
Arabs but traditionally known for upholding an unwavering history of loyalty to
the Syrian government. Daraa has produced more than its fair share of party and
state officials. This suggests that socio-economic disparity was a fundamental factor for the political unrest.
A comparison between the 1982 and 2011, shows that sect
or religious identity based on old aged ideological ties had no relation to the
actions of communities in Syria.
The
presence of religious militias and fighters from both sides of the conflict
with the religious tensions and ideological escalation they bring, has given
the Syrian arena a sectarian dimension, however this was a phenomenon
externally imposed rather than one with deep roots within the country's social
fabric.
The economy or the sect?
The
role of political economy as a conduit for social protest and discord cannot be
disregarded. Economic grievances were an important factor central to the
uprising against the Syrian government in March 2011. This dissatisfaction could be directed towards a
sectarian narrative as Syria expert Nicholas Van Dam elucidates: “The overlap of sectarian, regional
and socio-economic contrasts could have a mutually strengthening effect.
Popular discontent and socio-economic tensions could sometimes be directed and
even stimulated through sectarian channels”.
The
socio-economic conditions that allow sectarianism to thrive are therefore
equally important to the presence of sectarianism itself. Bashar Al-Assad's
biographer, David Lesch, predicted in 2005 that economic problems could lead to popular
unrest, “at worst the country could implode, with regime instability leading to
a potential civil war among Syria’s varied ethnicities and religious sects,
with radical Islamist groups waiting in the wings to assert themselves as the
political, social, and economic environment deteriorates”.
Corrupt
business networks and circles were the norm in the Syrian economy in the lead
up to 2011. In 2010 Syria was in 127th place on the
index of financial transparency. In a country where economic growth was stagnating, the discontent and anger were at times channeled through sectarian avenues.
Colonial divisions
The
history of identity politics and colonial division in Syria shows episodes where national unity has triumphed in the face of division.
The Sykes-Picot agreement in 1916 partitioned the
Arab world into sub-states to be merged into the respective British and French
empires. Syria fell under a French mandate heralding another
phase of colonialism after the centuries led rule of the Ottoman Empire.
From the beginning of their colonial rule, the
French sought to divide Syria into four sectarian sub-states in order to make ruling the country easier. This plan for
partition was heavily opposed by the indigenous and heterogeneous Syrian
population. The French plan to divide Syria backfired spectacularly sparking a
series of local tensions and led to the Great Syrian revolt in
1925, in which all sects and religious groups
participated.
The
primordialist approach that sectarianism is a reflection of old age historic
differences cannot be applied in Syria, it has been proven to be simplistic and
lacking in depth. Other factors contributed to sectarianism, but unlike Iraq,
Syria does not have a history of genuine sectarian division.
A
close inspection of the narrative surrounding the crisis exposes numerous
assumptions regarding the nature of political identity in the country, with a
strong disregard for political economy, social fabric,
ideology and colonialism. While
sectarianism may be a component, its role as the primary cause of the war
remains secondary.