Poll: Abortion funding reversal helps Biden with primary voters

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Former Vice President Joe Biden’s reversal on his decades-long support for a law that prohibits using federal funds to pay for abortions could bring him more in line with Democratic primary voters, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.

Nearly a third of voters who say they plan to participate in a Democratic presidential primary or caucus, 32 percent, say they are more likely to vote for Biden after he changed his position on the Hyde Amendment, the ban named for the late Rep. Henry Hyde (R-Ill). Just 19 percent of potential Democratic primary voters say Biden’s flip-flop makes them less likely to vote for him.

Asked about the Hyde Amendment — which bans federal funds from being used by programs like Medicaid for abortion in most cases — Democratic primary voters lean against it, though not overwhelmingly. A plurality, 45 percent, oppose the amendment, while 38 percent support it. The energy is on the side of its opponents, however: 32 percent of Democratic primary voters “strongly oppose” the Hyde Amendment, more than the 19 percent who “strongly support” it.

Biden’s “controversial decision to reverse his stance on the Hyde Amendment [does] little to impact his standing among Democratic primary voters,” said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president.

Although Democratic primary voters tilt against the Hyde Amendment, it remains more popular among the broader, general electorate. Nearly half of voters, 49 percent, support the amendment, while 33 percent oppose it. Roughly two in 10 voters, 19 percent, have no opinion.

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And while a plurality of Democratic primary voters say Biden’s reversal makes them more likely to vote for him, only 19 percent of all voters say the same. A quarter, 25 percent, say it makes them less likely to vote for Biden.

The campaign controversy comes amid a fervent push by Republicans in some state legislatures to curb abortion rights. Biden cited GOP efforts to restrict abortion rights when he announced last week that he would no longer support the Hyde Amendment, which he voted for during his long tenure as a senator from Delaware.

A combined majority of voters, 55 percent, say abortion should be legal in all or most cases, the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows. A little more than a third, 35 percent, say it should be illegal in all or most cases.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted June 7-9, surveying 1,991 registered voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.

More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in these two documents: Toplines: https://politi.co/2WBek8t | Crosstabs: https://politi.co/2X3X6zG